Abstract

Tree regeneration is a key process for long‐term forest dynamics, determining changes in species composition and shaping successional trajectories. While tree regeneration is a highly stochastic process, tree regeneration studies often cover narrow environmental gradients only, focusing on specific forest types or species in distinct regions. Thus, the larger‐scale effects of temperature, water availability, and stand structure on tree regeneration are poorly understood.We investigated these effects in respect of tree recruitment (in‐growth) along wide environmental gradients using forest inventory data from Flanders (Belgium), northwestern Germany, and Switzerland covering more than 40 tree species. We employed generalized linear mixed models to capture the abundance of tree recruitment in response to basal area, stem density, shade casting ability of a forest stand as well as site‐specific degree‐day sum (temperature), water balance, and plant‐available water holding capacity. We grouped tree species to facilitate comparisons between species with different levels of tolerance to shade and drought.Basal area and shade casting ability of the overstory had generally a negative impact on tree recruitment, but the effects differed between levels of shade tolerance of tree recruitment in all study regions. Recruitment rates of very shade‐tolerant species were positively affected by shade casting ability. Stem density and summer warmth (degree‐day sum) had similar effects on all tree species and successional strategies. Water‐related variables revealed a high degree of uncertainty and did not allow for general conclusions. All variables had similar effects independent of the varying diameter thresholds for tree recruitment in the different data sets.Synthesis: Shade tolerance and stand structure are the main drivers of tree recruitment along wide environmental gradients in temperate forests. Higher temperature generally increases tree recruitment rates, but the role of water relations and drought tolerance remains uncertain for tree recruitment on cross‐regional scales.

Highlights

  • Forest succession is defined as the shift in species composition and vegetation physiognomy over time at the level of a site, assuming that climatic conditions are constant and no major disturbance events occur (Finegan, 1984)

  • We investigated these effects in respect of tree recruitment along wide environmental gradients using forest inventory data from Flanders (Belgium), northwestern Germany, and Switzerland covering more than 40 tree species

  • In order to address these limitations of previous studies on tree recruitment, we aim to analyze (a) how tree recruitment is related to stand structure and environment, and (b) how it changes with different levels of shade tolerance and drought tolerance across a wide range of environmental and forest stand conditions

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Summary

Introduction

Forest succession is defined as the shift in species composition and vegetation physiognomy over time at the level of a site, assuming that climatic conditions are constant and no major disturbance events occur (Finegan, 1984). Current climate change alters the growing conditions of trees at every spatial scale (IPCC, 2014). The probability of shifts in tree species composition in forest ecosystems increases (Boisvert-­Marsh et al, 2019; Ibáñez et al, 2008; Kroiss & HilleRisLambers, 2015). Our quantitative understanding of the main drivers of tree regeneration is limited, under climate change. We must consider the interaction of successional properties of tree species and environmental factors. We need to search for general patterns of tree regeneration that help us to generate a better understanding of these highly stochastic processes under changing climate. Studying tree regeneration on cross-­regional scales with observational data is of key importance

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