Abstract

Changes in tree mortality due to severe drought can alter forest structure, composition, dynamics, ecosystem services, carbon fluxes, and energy interactions between the atmosphere and land surfaces. We utilized long-term (2000‒2017, 3 full inventory cycles) Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) data to examine tree mortality and biomass loss in drought-affected forests for East Texas, USA. Plots that experienced six or more years of droughts during those censuses were selected based on 12-month moderate drought severity [Standardized Precipitation Evaporation Index (SPEI) -1.0]. Plots that experienced other disturbances and inconsistent records were excluded from the analysis. In total, 222 plots were retained from nearly 4000 plots. Generalized nonlinear mixed models (GNMMs) were used to examine the changes in tree mortality and recruitment rates for selected plots. The results showed that tree mortality rates and biomass loss to mortality increased overall, and across tree sizes, dominant genera, height classes, and ecoregions. An average mortality rate of 5.89% year−1 during the study period could be incited by water stress created by the regional prolonged and episodic drought events. The overall plot and species-group level recruitment rates decreased during the study period. Forest mortality showed mixed results regarding basal area and forest density using all plots together and when analyzed the plots by stand origin and ecoregion. Higher mortality rates of smaller trees were detected and were likely compounded by density-dependent factors. Comparative analysis of drought-induced tree mortality using hydro-meteorological data along with drought severity and length gradient is suggested to better understand the effects of drought on tree mortality and biomass loss around and beyond East Texas in the southeastern United States.

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