Treatments and clinical outcomes in stage II colon cancer (CC) patients (pts) with 12-gene Oncotype DX Colon Recurrence Score assay-guided therapy: Real-world data.

Abstract

3620 Background: The role of adjuvant chemotherapy (CT) in stage II CC is debated. The validated 12-gene Oncotype DX Colon Recurrence Score test provides a Recurrence Score (RS) result (range, 0-100) which estimates recurrence risk (RR) in stage II/III pts. We studied treatment and clinical outcomes in CC pts in whom treatment decisions incorporated the RS result. Methods: This prospectively designed cohort study included all stage II, MMR-P, CC pts who underwent the 12-gene Oncotype DX testing through Clalit between 1/2011 and 12/2016 and had available data with minimum 3-yr follow-up. Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimates and log-rank tests were used to compare RR and CC specific mortality (CCSM) between RS categories. Multivariable analysis (MVA) identified variables associated with RR/CCSM. Results: The analysis included 938 pts. Median age, 68 (IQR, 60-76) yrs; 96% had T3 tumors, and 89% had ≥12 nodes examined. Median RS was 26 (IQR, 19-33). The 3 RS categories (0-29, 30-40, and 41-100) included 65%, 24%, and 11% of pts, respectively. The overall CT use rate was 24%, with a significant difference between the 3 categories (14%, 36%, and 60%, respectively, P< .0001). Pts with very low RS (0-15) comprised 14% of the cohort (CT use rate, 11%). Younger pts, and those with invasion/perforation/obstruction were more likely to receive CT. Clinical outcomes with a median follow up of 6.9 (IQR, 5.5-8.6) yrs are presented (Table). Among untreated pts, KM estimates for RR and CCSM differed significantly between the 3 RS categories ( P< .0001). Outcome of untreated RS 0-15 pts was excellent. In an MVA model, male sex, presence of invasion/perforation/obstruction and higher RS category (RS 41-100 vs 0-29 and vs 30-40, but not RS 30-40 vs 0-29) were associated with increased RR. For CCSM, the results were similar, but this time age ≥70 yrs replaced sex as a significant prognostic variable. Clinical outcomes within each RS group did not differ significantly between treated and untreated pts, but were numerically better with CT in the RS 41-100 group. Conclusions: This real-world analysis showed that the RS results provide independent prognostic information in stage II CC. Further studies are needed to investigate the potential role of the RS result as a predictor of CT benefit, but the data suggest that this benefit may be limited to pts with high RS results. [Table: see text]