Treatment and outcome trends and predictors of overall survival of rectal melanoma: Analysis of the National Cancer Database

Abstract

BackgroundWe aimed to assess characteristics, treatment, and outcomes of rectal melanoma (RM). MethodsThis retrospective cohort study looked at patients with RM from National Cancer Database (2004–2019) analyzed characteristics and outcomes of the entire cohort and across three time periods (2004–2009; 2010–2014; 2015–2019). Main outcome measures were change in treatment and survival trends across time periods and overall survival (OS). Results641 patients (58.5% female; mean age: 68.2 ± 13.6 years) were included. OS rate was 26%; median survival duration was 17.9 (IQR: 15.93–20.67) months. There was a significant decrease in the use of chemotherapy (17.3%–6.6%; p = 0.001) and surgery (62.9%–41.8%; p = 0.00004) but increased use of immunotherapy (11.9%–52%; p < 0.001) across time periods. OS was longer in the last time period than in the first two (21.8 vs 16.8 vs 16.5 months; p = 0.09). Surgical excision was an independent predictor of improved OS (HR = 0.266, 95%CI: 0.089–0.789, p = 0.017) whereas older age (HR = 1.039, 95%CI: 1.007–1.072, p = 0.016), positive resection margins (HR = 5.06, 95%CI: 1.902–13.48, p = 0.001) and metastasis (HR = 34.62, 95%CI: 3.973–301.6, p = 0.001) were predictors of poor survival. ConclusionsOver time, chemotherapy and surgery have been used less often in the treatment of RM while the use of immunotherapy increased by more than four-fold. Older age, surgical treatment, positive resection margins, and metastasis were predictive of survival of RM.