Treating Uncertainties in Reservoir Performance Prediction with Neural Networks

Abstract

In development projects, reservoir parameters are known only within certain ranges, which results in various realizations of the subsurface. Because of the computational time involved, simulation models to obtain a probability distribution of possible outcomes cannot cover all possible parameter combinations. Creating a response surface based on a reduced number of simulation runs becomes necessary. Such a response surface con be used to approximate results for several variations of input parameters. An approach in which reservoir response is captured by an artificial neural network (ANN) has been investigated. The trained ANN model was used in Monte Carlo simulations to generate the probability distribution of possible outcomes.