TRANSPORT MODE CHOICE MODELS FOR METRO MANILA AND URBAN TRANSPORT POLICY APPLICATIONS

Abstract

Multinomial and nested logit models were developed for urban transport mode choice of urban travelers during the morning home-to-work trips in Metro Manila. In the multinomial logit model, seven mode choices were available including the private car, regular taxi, light rail transit, air-conditioned bus, non-air-conditioned bus, jeepney, and fx megataxi. Two-level nested logit models were further developed which divided the available modes into private and public, and the public modes were further divided into air-conditioned and non- air-conditioned modes in the three-level nested logit models. Important deterministic variables included in the utility equations include in-vehicle time, out-of-vehicle time, individual monthly income divided by out-of-pocket cost, among others. The developed models were then used to determine the utility ranking of transport modes in Metro Manila and to test the effect of proposed urban transport-related developments in Metro Manila on mode choice probabilities of urban travelers.