Abstract

Abstract Upcoming NASA astrophysics missions such as the James Webb Space Telescope will search for signs of life on planets transiting nearby stars. Doing so will require coadding dozens of transmission spectra to build up sufficient signal to noise while simultaneously accounting for challenging systematic effects such as surface/weather variability, atmospheric refraction, and stellar activity. To determine the magnitude and impacts of both stellar and planet variability on measured transmission spectra, we must assess the feasibility of stacking multiple transmission spectra of exo-Earths around their host stars. Using our own solar system, we can determine if current methodologies are sufficient to detect signs of life in Earth’s atmosphere and measure the abundance of habitability indicators, such as H2O and CO2, and biosignature pairs, such as O2 and CH4. We assess the impact on transmission spectra of Earth transiting across the Sun from solar and planetary variability and identify remaining unknowns for understanding exoplanet transmission spectra. We conclude that a satellite observing Earth transits across the Sun from beyond L2 is necessary to address these long-standing concerns about the reliability of coadding planet spectra at UV, optical, and infrared wavelengths from multiple transits in the face of relatively large astrophysical systematics.

Highlights

  • Over the decade, users of the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) will apply transit-based techniques to determine whether rocky planets orbiting M-dwarf stars have tenuous, clear, or cloudy atmospheres

  • If we are unable to account for both stellar and planet variability when the ground truth is known, or effectively stack dozens of transmission spectra to derive the presence of weak molecular features, we should conduct the search for extrasolar life with other techniques

  • We have examined the prospects for solving three major challenges in detecting biosignature gases on terrestrial planet atmospheres: stellar variability, planet variability, and how these affect our fundamental technique of stacking spectra to build up the requisite signal-to-noise

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Summary

INTRODUCTION

Users of the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) will apply transit-based techniques to determine whether rocky planets orbiting M-dwarf stars have tenuous, clear, or cloudy atmospheres. The search for life with the transit method hinges on our understanding of the habitable zone around a star. Because current technologies, which make use of the transit method, provide the best data for short period planets, M-dwarf stars with their small size and closein habitable zones are the best targets to search for life until space-based direct imaging is realized. If we are unable to account for both stellar and planet variability when the ground truth is known, or effectively stack dozens of transmission spectra to derive the presence of weak molecular features, we should conduct the search for extrasolar life with other techniques.

TRANSITING EXOPLANET GEOMETRY AND SUBSEQUENT BIOSIGNATURE DETECTION
STELLAR VARIABILITY
PLANETARY VARIABILITY
Refraction
STACKING TRANSMISSION SPECTRA
CONCLUSIONS
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