Abstract
We analyse up-to-date epidemiological data of the Ebola virus disease outbreak in Nigeria as of 1 October 2014 in order to estimate the case fatality rate, the proportion of healthcare workers infected and the transmission tree. We also model the impact of control interventions on the size of the epidemic. Results indicate that Nigeria’s quick and forceful implementation of control interventions was determinant in controlling the outbreak rapidly and avoiding a far worse scenario in this country.
Highlights
Ebola virus disease outbreak in Nigeria as of 1 October in order to estimate the case fatality rate, the proportion of healthcare workers infected and the transmission tree
41% to 89% [33] and is likely a result of supportive care offered in dedicated facilities put in place in a timely fashion by the Nigerian authorities
The Ebola virus disease (EVD) case fatality rate in the ongoing outbreak in Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia has been estimated at 70%
Summary
Transmission dynamics and control of Ebola virus disease outbreak in Nigeria, July to September 2014. 1. Department of Production Animal Studies, University of Pretoria, South Africa. 2. Department of Theriogenology and Animal Production, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Usmanu Danfodiyo University, Sokoto, Nigeria. 3. Viral Research Division, National Veterinary Research Institute, Vom, Plateau State, Nigeria. 5. Department of Global Health, Milken Institute School of Public Health, George Washington University, Washington DC, United. 6. Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States. Ebola virus disease outbreak in Nigeria as of 1 October in order to estimate the case fatality rate, the proportion of healthcare workers infected and the transmission tree. Results indicate that Nigeria’s quick and forceful implementation of control interventions was determinant in controlling the outbreak rapidly and avoiding a far worse scenario in this country
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