Abstract
This paper presents a scenario for a transition to low carbon shipping. It combined a structured scenario process and simulations with the MATISSE-SHIP model to develop consistent qualitative and quantiative scenarios, agreed with sector experts. The IMO decides a binding target to reduce GHG emissions by 90 % by 2050. The use of LCF technologies for shipping, such as PtL/PtG, H2 fuel cells, and wind technologies, becomes the state of the art. Rapid action is required by the shipping sector. If society is willing to prioritise reduction of climate change, new operational patterns in shipping are possible. This behavioural change needs to be supported by strong climate policy to force the rapid development and adoption of wind and other low carbon technologies.
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