Transboundary water-food nexus based on physical-virtual water embedded in food trade network

Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the interaction among watershed, food-producing, and food-demanding areas through the connected system of physical-virtual water flows and local food networks in terms of the transboundary water-food nexus, even though they might not be geographically connected. Here, we analyzed the potential food network of local rice among 47 prefectures in Japan using the gravity model and estimated the physical-virtual water flows (PVWFs) by lining the physical water flow in food-producing areas and virtual water flow embedded in the food network. Through in-and out-degree centralities of the food network, we found that the results of degree centrality revealed which prefecture was more influenced by the changes in self-supply ratios (SSRs) of local rice. As all prefectures intended to increase consumption of local rice that was produced in their area, the scale of the food network was reduced, as shown by the decrease in in-and out-degree centralities. Based on the food network, we analyzed the dependency of food-demanding areas on each watershed based on a connected system of PVWFs. In a case study of the Kansai region, the northern watershed directly affected Hyogo, which was also indirectly influenced by Osaka in terms of PVWFs. In the food network with 20% SSR, the PVWF was estimated to be 189.17 × 106 m3·yr−1 from the northern watershed to Osaka in the food-producing area of the northern watershed, showing higher interaction of Osaka with the northern watershed than with other watersheds.