Abstract

It is not shortage or lack of water that leads to conflict but the way how water is governed and managed. It is said that water will be, much more than oil, the major geopolitical issue of the 21st century. Although it is difficult to demonstrate this, it is clear that the increasing scarcity of the resource, on the one hand, and the configuration of its availability, on the other, are conflict-generating. In the particular case of the African continent, the large catchment basins of the Nile, Niger and Chad, shared by many states of unequal power, are the scene of inefficient hydro-diplomacy. Indeed, north to south, the Nile Delta is 161 km long and covers the coastline of Egypt from Alexandria in the west to Port Said in the east. Egypt with 100 mln population is de facto the principal hydro-hegemon state in the Nile basin. Nevertheless, a couple of riparian states, as Ethiopia (105 mln population), have taken measures in order to challenge this status quo: the signature and launching of the Nile Basin Initiative (NBI), the signature of Cooperative Framework Agreement (CFA), the construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) and the signing of the Declaration of Principles Agreement. The article attempts to analyse the urgency of the problem of water resources allocation in Africa with particular focus to the Nile basin and the complexity of agreements regulating the issue dating back to the colonial era. The study also emphasizes the difficulties bilateral and multilateral aids faced while trying to solve a conflict. As Nile for many states is not just a source of water, it is the host of a fragile ecosystem, essential for maintaining the environmental and ecological balance of North-East Africa.

Highlights

  • Water is the primary natural resource without which human life is impossible

  • The growing scarcity of water resources represents a serious threat to humanity not just for certain regions, and on a global scale

  • In current conditions a quarter of the world population has water deficit, more than one billion people have no access to clean water, and it is predicted that by 2025 the same number of people will live in conditions of “absolute water hunger”

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Summary

Научная статья

Трансграничные водные конфликты как постколониальное наследие (на примере бассейна Нила). Причиной водных конфликтов является не нехватка воды, а то, как она распределяется. INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, 2020, 20 (1), 184—196 что растущая нехватка водных ресурсов, с одной стороны, и неэффективные режимы их распределения и управления — с другой порождают конфликты. Несколько прибрежных государств, таких как Эфиопия (105 млн населения), приняли меры, чтобы бросить вызов этому статус-кво, в том числе подписание и запуск Инициативы по бассейну Нила (NBI), подписание Рамочного соглашения о сотрудничестве (CFA), строительство «Великой плотины возрождения Эфиопии» и подписание Соглашения о декларации принципов. В статье предпринята попытка проанализировать актуальность проблемы распределения водных ресурсов в Африке с особым акцентом на бассейн Нила и сложность соглашений, регулирующих эту проблему еще с колониальных времен.

Introduction
The Nile and the Transboundary Agenda
Britain and Northern Ireland and the Government of Egypt
Multilateral Level and International Mediation
Concluding Remarks

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