Trajectory Prediction of Target Aircraft Based on HPSO-TPFENN Neural Network

Abstract

Trajectory prediction plays an important role in modern air combat. Aiming at the large degree of modern simplification, low prediction accuracy, poor authenticity and reliability of data sample in traditional methods, a trajectory prediction method based on HPSO-TPFENN neural network is established by combining with the characteristics of trajectory with time continuity. The time profit factor was introduced into the target function of Elman neural network, and the parameters of improved Elman neural network are optimized by using the hybrid particle swarm optimization algorithm (HPSO), and the HPSO-TPFENN neural network was constructed. An independent prediction method of three-dimensional coordinates is firstly proposed, and the trajectory prediction data sample including course angle and pitch angle is constructed by using true combat data selected in the air combat maneuvering instrument (ACMI), and the trajectory prediction model based on HPSO-TPFENN neural network is established. The precision and real-time performance of trajectory prediction model are analyzed through the simulation experiment, and the results show that the relative error in different direction is below 1%, and it takes about 42ms approximately to complete 595 consecutive prediction, indicating that the present model can accurately and quickly predict the trajectory of the target aircraft.