Abstract

IntroductionDespite important advances of longitudinal research in substance use behaviors, most studies stratify analyses by gender or race, which limits the ability to directly compare the likelihood of a particular developmental pathway across demographic groups. Thus, there is critical need for well-designed research to examine the associations of race/ethnicity with developmental trajectories of substance use behaviors across adolescence through adulthood. MethodsUsing an accelerated longitudinal design, we examined behaviors across ages 12–31 from Waves I–IV of the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health. We performed growth mixture modeling, resulting in estimated trajectories over time. Next, we assessed the association between race/ethnicity and trajectory membership using multinomial logistic regression. ResultsFive trajectories resulted for marijuana use, four for cigarette smoking, three for smokeless tobacco use and number of days drunk, and two trajectories for heavy episodic drinking. Controlling for gender and family socioeconomic status, African Americans and Hispanics were less likely than non-Hispanic Whites to use cigarettes or smokeless tobacco early or to use alcohol heavily. ConclusionsSubstance use behavior development follows different pathways for US adolescents and young adults, with some individuals experimenting earlier in adolescence and others beginning to use later in adolescence or in early adulthood. We extend developmental knowledge about these behaviors by demonstrating that the patterns of behavior vary by race/ethnicity; members of lower-risk trajectories (those involving later or no initiation of substance use) are more likely to be African American or Hispanic than to be non-Hispanic White.

Highlights

  • Despite important advances of longitudinal research in substance use behaviors, most studies stratify analyses by gender or race, which limits the ability to directly compare the likelihood of a particular developmental pathway across demographic groups

  • To provide more nuanced insight into the relationship between race/ethnicity and substance use outcomes, we examine whether and how race/ethnicity is a significant predictor of subgroup membership for each substance use behavior

  • The goals of this study are to (1) identify subgroups of adolescents and young adults in the transition to adulthood with distinct trajectories of change over time for each of type of behavior: tobacco, alcohol, and marijuana use; and (2) examine how race/ethnicity is associated with subgroup membership

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Summary

Introduction

Despite important advances of longitudinal research in substance use behaviors, most studies stratify analyses by gender or race, which limits the ability to directly compare the likelihood of a particular developmental pathway across demographic groups. There is critical need for well-designed research to examine the associations of race/ethnicity with developmental trajectories of substance use behaviors across adolescence through adulthood. Adolescence is a vulnerable time for the development of risk behaviors associated with disease and premature death (CDC, 2013). About 31.4% of high school students use tobacco products; 63.2% have drunk alcohol; and 38.6% have used marijuana (CDC, 2013). Since these behaviors can lead to disease and death and often start in adolescence, it is important to understand their patterns of development. There is not one common trajectory of development; rather, subgroups of adolescents initiate and maintain risk behaviors at different times and to varying degrees (Frech, 2012). It is important to analyze these trajectory patterns to design more effective prevention policies and programs, tailored to specific subgroup needs and characteristics

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