Trajectories of plasma biomarkers of Alzheimer’s disease and neurodegeneration in the general population

Abstract

AbstractBackgroundPlasma biomarkers of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) and neurodegeneration have demonstrated diagnostic utility and associations with AD pathology. Our objective was to map the average trajectories over age of plasma biomarkers and more established biomarkers including cognition, amyloid PET, and hippocampal volume.MethodWe included 1731 cognitively unimpaired (CU) and 226 mild cognitive impairment (MCI) participants from the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (mean age of 70.3 years; 46.3% female; 14.8 years of mean education) with one or more measurements of amyloid‐PET, MRI with hippocampal volume measurements adjusted for head size (HVa), and plasma biomarkers (Aβ42/40 ratio, p‐tau181, GFAP, and NfL measured using Quanterix Simoa assays). A global cognitive z‐score was created by averaging the z‐scores of memory, language, executive function, and visuospatial domains. Smoothing spline curves were calculated for the values of each variable over age and placed on the same plot. Since each variable has a different scale, the smoothed curves were centered at the predicted value at age 50 and scaled so that a value of 1 would be one standard deviation of the fitted values from ages 50‐80.ResultAt age 50, GFAP and NfL start to increase, and Aβ42/40 was observed to decrease. At age 55, amyloid‐PET and p‐tau181 had a smooth and upward‐curving increase. After age 70, the average values of p‐tau181 increased at a higher rate. Average cognition started declining after 55 years. HVa began to decline after age 60 and then showed a steeper decline at age 72.ConclusionThis study demonstrates that predicted values of plasma GFAP, NfL, and Aβ42/40 across participants begin to change at younger ages than cognitive decline or increases observed in amyloid PET. The changes observed during middle age in GFAP and NfL likely reflect non‐AD pathologies and aging processes, while Aβ42/40 may be a leading indicator of future cerebral amyloidosis. Predicted plasma neurodegenerative biomarkers (GFAP and NfL) begin to change at younger ages than a traditional biomarker of neurodegeneration (HVa). Predicted ptau181 increases were observed in tandem with amyloid PET likely reflecting current amyloid status.