Trajectories of Motoric Cognitive Risk and Incident Dementia in Scotland

Abstract

AbstractBackgroundMotoric cognitive risk syndrome (MCR) ‐ objective slow gait and subjective cognitive complaints ‐ is quick and easy to measure, making it a potentially useful clinical tool for identifying those at high risk of developing dementia. This is the first exploration of MCR syndrome’s predictive ability for incident dementia in a Scottish cohort (Lothian Birth Cohort 1936) and the first examination of the various trajectories of MCR.MethodWe classified a total of 680 community‐dwelling participants (mean [SD] age 76.3 [0.8] years) free from dementia into non‐MCR or MCR groups. We used cox proportional hazard methods to evaluate the risk of developing all‐cause dementia in the years following MCR diagnosis. Our final model adjusted for age, sex, comorbidity index, apolipoprotein E status, physical activity level, and years of education. We analysed the trajectories for everyone with MCR by tracking their outcomes over 9 years. All analyses were performed in R version 4.0.2.ResultThe prevalence of MCR at baseline was 5.6% (n = 38/680). After 9 years of follow‐up, 11.6% (n = 79/680) of the total cohort developed dementia. The presence of MCR increased the risk of dementia (adjusted hazard ratio 2.37 [95%CI 1.06‐5.32; p = 0.0359]). The trajectories of those with MCR at baseline were: i) reverted to healthy (n = 6/38), ii) ongoing MCR (n = 13/38), iii) progressed to dementia (n = 9/38), or iv) died (n = 10/38).ConclusionMCR showed similar prognostic ability for dementia in a Scottish cohort as for other populations. MCR could identify a target group for early interventions of modifiable risk factors to prevent incident dementia. Individuals with MCR follow similar trajectories to the related predementia syndrome, Mild Cognitive Impairment.