Trajectories of Illness in Stage 5 Chronic Kidney Disease

Abstract

The illness trajectory in the last year of life in advanced (stage 5) chronic kidney disease is poorly understood. Mapping the trajectory of patient-centered outcomes could facilitate better care. The objectives of this study were to determine trajectories of symptoms and wider health-related concerns in the last year of life in stage 5 chronic kidney disease, managed without dialysis. A longitudinal symptom survey in three UK renal units was used, using the Memorial Symptom Assessment Scale-Short Form and core Palliative Care Outcome Scale. Average (using mean scores over time) and individual (using individual scores over time, with visual graphical analysis) trajectories were mapped. Seventy-four patients (mean age, 81 ± 6.8 years) were recruited; 49 died during follow-up. Average trajectories showed moderate symptom distress and health-related concerns, with marked increase in the last 2 months of life. Visual graphical analysis enabled stable, increasing, or fluctuant individual trajectories to be identified. The proportion following these trajectories varied between outcome measures; regarding symptoms, 50% followed a stable pattern, 24% increased, and 21% fluctuated compared with 26%, 57%, and 21%, respectively, for health-related concerns. Inter-rater agreement in grouping trajectories was high (κ statistic, 0.80 and 0.86, respectively). In the 2 months before death, patients reported a sharp increase in symptom distress and health-related concerns. Health care should anticipate and address this increase, which may indicate the patients is approaching death. Considerable individual variation and flexibility/responsiveness of care is important: one size of service does not fit all.