Traffic Volume Forecast of Parking Lot Entrance and Exit Roads

Abstract

As people's living standards improve, commercial plaza development also more and more quickly, commercial plaza and the surrounding areas of transport vehicles, in the parking lot entrances and exits of highway road traffic conditions, the parking lot entrances and exits of low traffic capacity and traffic organization chaos (motor vehicles, electric vehicles and the status of the bicycle traffic complex). It is necessary to predict the traffic volume of the entrance and exit roads of the parking lot. In ningyang county lingyun building as an example, through direct observation records investigation parking lot parking condition and facilities, analysis of traffic organization form of the parking lot entrances, investigate the status of the parking lot entrance road and surrounding roads, using artificial paper counting method to collect parking entrance road traffic flow, speed and other data, The time series moving average and exponential smoothing are used to predict the traffic volume at the entrance and exit of the parking lot. The prediction results show that the two methods are suitable for the parking lot entrance traffic volume prediction, and the moving average method is more accurate than the exponential smoothing method, which is closer to the actual value.