Traffic self-similarity analysis and application of industrial internet

Abstract

Industrial internet traffic prediction is not only an academic problem, but also a concern of industry and network performance department. Efficient prediction of industrial internet traffic is helpful for protocol design, traffic scheduling, detection of network attacks, etc. This paper proposes an industrial internet traffic prediction method based on the Echo State Network. In the first place this paper proves that the industrial internet traffic data are self-similar by means of the calculation of Hurst exponent of each traffic time series. It indicates that industrial internet traffic can be predicted utilizing nonlinear time series models. Then Echo State Network is applied for industrial internet traffic forecasting. Furthermore, to avoid the weak-conditioned problem, grid search algorithm is used to optimize the reservoir parameters and coefficients. The dataset this paper perform experiments on are large-scale industrial internet traffic data at different time scale. They come from Industrial Internet in three regions and are provided by ZTE Corporation. The result shows that our approach can predict industrial internet traffic efficiently, which is also a verification of the self-similarity analysis.