Abstract

AbstractThe statistical models supporting the Highway Safety Manual quantify associations between aggregate traffic measures, such as average daily traffic volume or posted speed limit, and crash f...

Highlights

  • The Highway Safety Manual (HSM) (AASHTO 2010) offers evidence-based tools for predicting the safety effects of designrelated decisions

  • Macroscopic traffic flow models imply that vehicle headways should show a roughly convex relation to traffic density; headways tend to be long when densities are low because vehicles are widely separated, and headways tend to be long when densities are high because vehicles have slow speeds

  • Brill’s microscopic model of how a platoon of braking vehicles can produce a rear-end crash emphasizes the differences between reaction times and following times and shows how the probability of a crash occurring in a stopping wave can be computed via the first passage of a random walk

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Summary

Introduction

The Highway Safety Manual (HSM) (AASHTO 2010) offers evidence-based tools for predicting the safety effects of designrelated decisions.

Results
Conclusion

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