Abstract
Grinblatt and Han (2005) argued that unrealized capital gains and expected returns are positively related in the U.S. stock markets. This study investigates the possibility of developing investment strategies for stock index futures using the positive relation. Probing the trading data of futures on KOSPI200 during the period of 1995~2013, several interesting results are obtained. First, the strategy of building long positions when the unrealized capital gain is greater than zero produces positive profit which is statistically significant. Second, the profitability of this strategy during December is significantly positive while the profitability during January is insignificant. Third, the strategy generates positive profit during the second half year while the profitability of the first half year is insignificant. These results imply that it is possible to develop investment strategy by extracting some information from the unrealized capital gains.
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Disclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.