Abstract

Decision-support tools are commonly used to maximize return on investments (ROI) in conservation. We evaluated how the relative value of information on biodiversity features and land cost varied with data structure and variability, attributes of focal species and conservation targets, and habitat suitability thresholds for contrasting bird communities in the Pacific Northwest of North America. Specifically, we used spatial distribution maps for 20 bird species, land values, and an integer linear programming model to prioritize land units (1 km2) that met conservation targets at the lowest estimated cost (hereafter ‘efficiency’). Across scenarios, the relative value of biodiversity data increased with conservation targets, as higher thresholds for suitable habitat were applied, and when focal species occurred disproportionately on land of high assessed value. Incorporating land cost generally improved planning efficiency, but at diminishing rates as spatial variance in biodiversity features relative to land cost increased. Our results offer a precise, empirical demonstration of how spatially-optimized planning solutions are influenced by spatial variation in underlying feature layers. We also provide guidance to planners seeking to maximize efficiency in data acquisition and resolve potential trade-offs when setting targets and thresholds in financially-constrained, spatial planning efforts aimed at maximizing ROI in biodiversity conservation.

Highlights

  • Decision-support tools are commonly used to maximize return on investments (ROI) in conservation

  • Theoretical studies suggest that the marginal value of biodiversity and land cost data in spatially-optimized conservation plans can vary with data structure and variability, the attributes of focal species, and the conservation targets or habitat suitability thresholds applied, with potentially dramatic effects on return on investment[5,15]

  • Contrary to the assumption that biodiversity feature data reliably enhances the efficiency of spatially-optimized conservation plans, we found that the relative value of cost and biodiversity data varied by context

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Summary

Introduction

Decision-support tools are commonly used to maximize return on investments (ROI) in conservation. Opportunism can play a role in such efforts[1], decisions that fail to incorporate reliable ecological or cost data can increase the risk of protecting land with limited conservation value or high associated costs[2,3,4,5]. Theoretical studies suggest that the marginal value of biodiversity and land cost data in spatially-optimized conservation plans can vary with data structure and variability, the attributes of focal species, and the conservation targets or habitat suitability thresholds applied, with potentially dramatic effects on return on investment[5,15]. Because our study aimed to elucidate general principles underlying efficient conservation planning, rather than to identify a portfolio for real-world implementation, we focused our examination and findings using two groups of birds indicative of land of relatively low versus high cost, and associated with forested versus human-dominated landscapes, respectively

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