Trade policy uncertainty and corporate innovation: evidence from resource dependence perspective

Abstract

ABSTRACT Corporate innovation activities under uncertain environment have attracted growing academic attention, yet didn’t reach a consistent result, and the mechanism of firms’ interdependence with other organisations is not well explored. This paper is committed to uncover the latent mechanism from a resource-dependence perspective behind the environment–innovation relationship. Adopting an unbalanced dataset of Chinese public listed firms from 2006 to 2020, this study testifies the positive association between trade policy uncertainty (TPU) and corporate innovation, based on the two-way fixed empirical model. Furthermore, levels of buyer companies’ dependence on major suppliers and implicit government guarantee reinforce the strength of TPU’s prompting effect on innovation output. Our conclusions are robust to a series of sensitivity tests and two-stage least squares (2SLS) instrumental variable method. Heterogeneous analysis shows that the buyer dependence mechanism is exclusively prominent in high-technology firms, and the implicit government guarantee mechanism is more significant among non-high-tech firms.