Abstract

For a non-linear sucker-rod pumping system, a surface dynamometer card estimation algorithm based on a particle filter is presented. The dynamometer card is a plot of the polished rod load at various positions of a pump stroke. Since the polished rod load measured by a load sensor is frequently affected by drift problems, a local characteristic correlation method is proposed while building the state-space model for the pumping unit. The local characteristic correlation method makes the system insensitive to load drift problems. Moreover, the prior data recorded from different wells are used to construct the importance density. To make the k -time importance density closer to the real posterior distribution, current measurement information is used. The performance of the proposed algorithm is evaluated on the actual operating data of a Xinjiang oil field containing typical daily production activities that can cause sudden system state changes. The results show that the proposed algorithm can adapt to sudden changes of the underground environment caused by various human factors, and it can provide robust estimation for multi-well long-term state tracking.

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