Abstract
In the last 50 years, Stakeholder (STH) theory has become one of the main instruments of analysis, identification,classification and management of entities in the complex and conflicting corporate environment. In a similar way, System Dynamics (SD) methodology has been used as an instrument for modeling and simulating the dynamics of complex systems in several areas of knowledge, such as engineering, management, environmental research, health, etc. The main objective of this work is to study the potential of combining these two approaches into a new methodology for modeling, analysis and simulation of organizational complex systems that could aid in the decision-making process. Motivated by social, technological, political and economic challenges observed in the Brazilian Space Program (PEB), the authors use it as a case study for the application of that new methodology. This preliminary study identifies possible cells and molecules of the functional structure of PEB, their interfaces and interactions. It is hoped that the present work would be helpful for later developments in PEBs dynamic modeling and planning.
Highlights
From a global point of view, it can be considered that space exploration has been following a long and productive path since the launch of the first artificial satellite about 60 years ago
THE STH/System Dynamics (SD) METHODOLOGY This section describes a process for combining stakeholder theory with systems dynamics methodology into a new methodology, the STH/SD methodology, which is used to model and simulate PEB’s dynamics
Stock and Flow diagrams (SFDs)-2 SIMULATION RESULTS A model for the system was built using software VENSIM®
Summary
From a global point of view, it can be considered that space exploration has been following a long and productive path since the launch of the first artificial satellite about 60 years ago. The Brazilian Space Program (Programa Espacial Brasileiro – PEB) has been serving as an agent of mobilizing resources, able to materialize, even if partially, public policies aimed at strengthening a national scientific and applications space community, achieve technological independency and a sustainable space industry (Costa Filho 2002; Escada 2005; Ribeiro 2007; Pereira 2009) Concerning these last two aspects of PEB, though the Brazilian space industry has already being capable of generating products with high technological content (Oliveira 2014), it is still in an early stage of development, and its consolidation was given high priority by the Brazilian Space Agency (Agência Espacial Brasileira – AEB) (AEB 2012)
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