Abstract

Energy is a key ingredient to facilitate economic development in the Middle East. Expectations for a rapidly growing economy in the next decade will likely cause an increase in the fraction of energy consumed domestically limiting what is available for export. These challenges are the biggest for resource-rich countries, since their economy is heavily dependent on fossil fuel exports alongside an energy-intensive economy. Thus, the paper addresses the question of how the development of energy systems among resource-rich countries has changed over the past three decades and what role can they play in the sustainable development of the region’s energy system and emission reduction goals? To address this question, we present an overview on energy trends in four resource-rich countries in the Middle East, which nearly account for 76% of the region’s energy-related emissions and about 77% of total energy consumption. These countries are namely, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and the UAE. Accordingly, we present a comparative energy analysis between the four countries through examining historical and current energy trends, the structure of energy supply, the status of renewable deployment and energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. Results from the analysis showed that inefficient energy production and consumption have played a role in the deterioration of the energy landscape of the four countries compared to the global energy system. Thus, this highlights the necessity for suitable energy strategies and effective policies that will be central to sustainable energy development. The analysis presented here could be used to better understanding of the impacts of current gaps and inefficiencies in large energy consumers in the Middle East.

Highlights

  • The Middle East is a region that encompasses hydrocarbon-rich economies that are heavily dependent on fossil fuels for its energy supply and domestic consumption

  • We present an overview of energy trends in four major emitters and energy consumers in the Middle East

  • The STEEP analysis is applied to understand past and current trends of energy based on determined determinedfactors factorsdrawing drawingfrom from work to gain insights for key based on thethe work of of ThisThis willwill helphelp to gain insights for key factors that may have an influence on the development of energy systems in the future

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Summary

Introduction

The Middle East is a region that encompasses hydrocarbon-rich economies that are heavily dependent on fossil fuels for its energy supply and domestic consumption. Out of the twelve countries, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, The UAE, and Qatar are the largest oil exporters in the region. Oil and natural gas took the lead in supplying the majority of the region’s energy needs, a historical trend since the 1950s that has always been closely tied to the region’s role as a global supplier of both oil and natural gas [4], as the highest proven oil reserves in the Middle East including oil deposits are located in Saudi Arabia (18% of global reserves) followed by Iran (10.6% of global reserves). The review presented below covers the period from 1980 to 2014 using data from the International Energy Agency database, World

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