Towards net zero emissions target: Energy modelling of the transport sector in Türkiye

Abstract

The transport sector is one of the most important sectors with the potential to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, according to Türkiye's 2053 net zero target. Electrification is the most important part of this goal, is expected to become basic strategy for transport. Thus, this paper aims to analyze how the transport sector could take part in terms of transport policies to achieve the target. For that purpose, Transport Sector Energy Model based on Türkiye Energy Model is designed, the transport sector is analyzed, and the results are presented under two scenarios: The Stated Policies Scenario and the Net Zero Emissions Scenario. According to the analysis of model results, the development of sink areas and timing of low carbon policies such as CO2 standards, technology constraints, and behavioral changes of transport are crucial for the net zero target emission of Türkiye.