Towards a Method to Predict the Evaluation Result in a Microlearning Context

Abstract

This paper presents a method for predicting the evaluation results of learners interacting with a context-aware microlearning system. We use ASUM-DM to guide different data analytics tasks, including applying a genetic algorithm that selects the prediction’s highest weight features. Then, we apply Machine Learning models like Random Forest, Gradient Boosting Tree, Decision Tree, SVM, and Neural Networks to train data and evaluate the context’s effects, either success or failure of the learner’s evaluation. We are interested in finding the model of significant context-influence to the learner’s evaluation results. The Random Forest model provided an accuracy of 94%, which was calculated with the cross-validation technique. Thus, it is possible to conclude that the model can accurately predict the evaluation result and relate it to the learner context. The model result is a useful insight for sending notifications to the learners to improve the learning process. We want to provide recommendations about learner behavior and context and adapt the microlearning content in the future.