Abstract

The relationship between seeding and outcomes in the Men’s NCAA Basketball Tournament has been explored by a number of relatively recent studies. However, there has been very little published research on the Men’s Postseason National Invitation Tournament, which, unlike contests in the former tournament, are typically played on a home court basis. As such, the relationship between seeding and expected outcomes may differ between the two events. Results from linear probability and probit models presented here indicate that, although the intercept is higher as expected, the marginal effect of a 1-unit seeding differential in an NCAA Tournament contest is only about 60-75 percent of its NIT contest counterpart.

Highlights

  • Introduction and BackgroundOver the past several years there has been a significant amount of research on tournament seeding in various sporting events

  • The objective of this study is to examine this issue by extending earlier work on seeding in men’s college basketball’s NCAA tournament to the National Invitation Tournament

  • In comparison with Schwertman, Schenk and Holbrook (1996) and the NCAAT, we find a higher intercept, clearly indicating the presence of the home court advantage awarded by the NIT, and a larger increase in the probability of winning associated with an increase in seed difference

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Summary

Introduction and Background

Over the past several years there has been a significant amount of research on tournament seeding in various sporting events. In comparison with Schwertman, Schenk and Holbrook (1996) and the NCAAT, we find a higher intercept, clearly indicating the presence of the home court advantage awarded by the NIT, and a larger increase in the probability of winning associated with an increase in seed difference. This result is somewhat surprising because our suspicion was that correctly seeding teams 65 through 96 was likely to be more difficult than seeding teams 1 through 64, there would be information lost in the seeding

College Basketball’s Postseason: A Tale of Two Tournaments
Previous Literature: A Brief Review
Findings
Concluding Remarks
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