Abstract

Let $W_n := \sum_{j=1}^n Z_j$ be a sum of independent integer-valued random variables. In this paper, we derive an asymptotic expansion for the probability $\mathbb{P}[W_n \in A]$ of an arbitrary subset $A \in \mathbb{Z}$. Our approximation improves upon the classical expansions by including an explicit, uniform error estimate, involving only easily computable properties of the distributions of the $Z_j:$ an appropriate number of moments and the total variation distance $d_{\mathrm{TV}}(\mathscr{L}(Z_j), \mathscr{L}(Z_j + 1))$. The proofs are based on Stein’s method for signed compound Poisson approximation.

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