Topological data analysis identified prognostically-distinct phenotypes in MitraClip patients

Abstract

Abstract Background Topological data analysis (TDA) is the state-of-the-art unsupervised machine learning framework that can provide insight into the dataset and visualize condensed information via the topological network graph. This robust approach was never used to assess the heterogeneous MitraClip population. Purpose We aim to develop a TDA model that will identify prognostically-distinct phenogroups in MitraClip patients without a priori knowledge of the population and their outcomes. Method Patients who underwent MitraClip (June 2014-September 2020) at Mayo Clinic sites were identified from the institutional database for baseline and follow-up data. Thirteen variables were used for TDA. The topological network graph was created using the Python Scikit-TDA Kepler-Mapper package (v. 2.0.1), and clustering was performed at the graph level with Louvain's modularity method. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to assess the all-cause mortality endpoint of each cluster identified in an unsupervised manner. The dataset with cluster labels was also used to train a Light Gradient Boosted Machine model, and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis was applied to determine the feature importance. Results A total of 389 consecutive patients were included in the final analysis and two major clusters consisting of 384 patients were identified. The mean age was 80.3±8.7 years; 256 (65.8%) were male. The mean Society of Thoracic Surgeons Mitral Valve Replacement risk score was 9.6±6.9%. Fifty-five (14.5%) patients died during the mean follow duration (185 days). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed significant survival differences among the two clusters (HR: 2.38; 95% CI: 1.39–4.06, p=0.001; Figure 1). Clusters 1 (n=195) was associated with > mild residual mitral regurgitation and worse survival performance and was characterized with worse tricuspid regurgitation severity, a higher proportion of patients with atrial fibrillation/flutter, anterior leaflet prolapse, and mitral annular/leaflet calcification, as summarized in Table 1. Conclusion TDA can identify distinct phenotype clusters with prognostic significance in MitraClip patients based on mitral valve morphology and clinical risk factors. This simple model can facilitate clinical risk stratification for MitraClip patients regarding procedural success and survival performance. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.