To identify important MRI features to differentiate hepatic mucinous cystic neoplasms from septated hepatic cysts based on random forest.

Abstract

To identify important MRI features to differentiate hepatic mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCN) from septated hepatic cysts (HC) using random forest andcompared with logistic regression algorithm. Pathologically diagnosed hepatic cysts and hepatic MCNs with pre-operative contrast-enhanced MRI in our hospital from 2010 to 2023 were collected and only septated lesions on enhanced MRI were enrolled. A total of 21 septated HC and 18 MCNs were included in this study. Eighteen MRI features were analyzed and top important features were identified based on random forest (RF) algorithm. The results were evaluated by the prediction performance of a RF model combining the important features and compared with the performance of the logistic regression (LR) algorithm. Finally, for each identified feature, diagnostic probability, sensitivity, and specificity were calculated and compared. Four variables, i.e., the septation arising from wall without indentation, multiseptate, intracapsular cyst sign, and solitary lesion were extracted as top important features with significance for MCNs by the random forest algorithm. The RF model using these variables had an AUC of 0.982 (0.95CI, 0.950-1.000), compared with the LR model based on two identified features with AUC of 0.931 (0.95CI, 0.846-1.000), p = 0.202. Among the four important features, multiseptate had the highest specificity (95.2%) and good sensitivity (72.2%, lower than the septation from wall without indentation, 94.4%) to diagnose MCNs. Four out of 18 MRI features were extracted as reliably important factors to differ hepatic MCNs from septated HC. The combination of these four features in a RF model could achieve satisfactory diagnostic efficacy.