Timing of birth and disease progression in multiple sclerosis

Abstract

Background The timing of birth has recently been associated with the risk of developing multiple sclerosis (MS) in later life. Whether the timing of birth also influences the disease course of MS is unknown. Objective To investigate whether the season or month of birth influences the timing of secondary progression or the time to landmark disability outcomes in MS. Methods To allow confirmation of findings, all analyses were performed in duplicate in two large natural history cohorts from geographically distinct but seasonally similar locations in Europe and North America. Kaplan–Meier survival analyses were used to investigate the influence of month and season of birth on 1) the time to and age at the development of secondary progression in patients with a relapsing disease onset and 2) the time to reach an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of 6.0 in patients with primary progressive and relapsing MS. Results No association between the month or season of birth and disease progression could be found, which was reproducible in both natural history cohorts. A seasonal trend was observed for the time to and age at secondary progression in Groningen, with March babies exhibiting a shorter time to and younger age at secondary progression. The birth month affected time to EDSS 6 for those with relapsing MS in British Columbia, with January babies exhibiting a longer time to EDSS 6. Neither finding could be reciprocated in the other natural history cohort. Conclusion The season or month of birth does not appear to influence disease progression of MS.