Abstract

Space weather storms typically have solar, interplanetary, geophysical and societal-effect components that overlap in time, making it hard for students and novices to determine cause-and-effect relationships and relative timing. To address this issue, we use timelines to provide context for space weather storms of different intensities. First, we present a timeline and tabular description for the great auroral storms of the last 500 years as an example for space climate. The graphical summary for these 14 events suggests that they occur about every 40–60 years, although the distribution of such events is far from even. One outstanding event in 1770 may qualify as a one-in-500-year auroral event, based on duration. Additionally, we present two examples that describe space weather storms using solar, geospace and effects categories. The first of these is for the prolonged storm sequence of late January 1938 that produced low-latitude auroras and space weather impacts on mature technology (telegraphs) and on high frequency radio communication for aviation, which was a developing technology. To illustrate storm effects in the space-age, we produce a detailed timeline for the strong December 2006 geomagnetic storm that impacted numerous space-based technologies for monitoring space weather and for communication and navigation. During this event there were numerous navigations system disturbances and hardware disruptions. We adopt terminology developed in many previous space weather studies and blend it with historical accounts to create graphical timelines to help organize and disentangle the events presented herein.

Highlights

  • Almost all space weather storms have a solar source in a solar magnetic active region (AR) or at the interface of closed/open magnetic regions that extend into space

  • We suggest that based on duration, the 1770 event is a strong candidate for a once-in-500-year auroral storm designation, with the understanding that this was likely not a single eruptive event (See Liu et al, 2019)

  • We find that on average a great auroral storm appears about every four to five solar cycles, whereas the distribution is temporally uneven with the Sun apparently modulating the distribution as it cycles through grand minima and maxima

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Summary

Introduction

Almost all space weather storms have a solar source in a solar magnetic active region (AR) or at the interface of closed/open magnetic regions that extend into space. The reference lists in Willis & Stephenson (2000), Stephenson et al (2004), Vaquero & Vázquez (2009) and Maden (2020) provide starting points for further reading on this subject In this space-climatology example, we combined archival and worldwide-web literature searches with timeline software to characterize the great low-latitude auroral events of the past 500 years. We suggest that based on duration, the 1770 event is a strong candidate for a once-in-500-year auroral storm designation, with the understanding that this was likely not a single eruptive event (See Liu et al, 2019) 14 Nov 1789 17 Nov 1848 28/29 Aug 3/4 Sep 1859 24–25 Oct 1870 4–6 Feb 1872 25 Sep 1909 13–16 May 1921 16–26 Jan 1938

11 Feb 1958 13–14 Mar 1989
28 Mar 1946 21–22 Sep 1946
December 2006 storm event timeline
Discussion and summary
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