Abstract

In this thesis, I study the time-varying behavior of a ventila ted thermocline with basin scales at annual and decadal time scales. The variability is forced by three external forcings: the wind stress (chapter 3), the surface heat flux (chapter 4) and the upwelling along the eastern boundary (chapter 5). It is found that the thermocline variability is forced mainly by wind in a shadow zone while m~inly by surface buoyancy flux in a ventilated zone. A two-layer planetary geostrophic model is developed (chapter 2) to simulate a thermocline. The model includes some novel physical mechanisms. Most importantly, it captures the essential feature of subduction; it also is able to account for a time-varying surface temperature. The equation for the interface is a quasi-linear equation, which can be solved analytically by the method of characteristics. The effect of a varying Ekman pumping is investigated. In a shadow zone, it is found that the driving due to the Ekman pumping is mainly balanced by the propagation of planetary waves. However, in a ventilated zone, the cold advection of subducted water plays the essential role in opposing the Ekman pumping. The different dynamics also results in different thermocline variability between the two zones. After a change of Ekman pumping, in the shadow zone, since the baroclinic Ross by wave responds to a changing Ekman pumping slowly (in years to decades), an imbalance arises between the Rossby wave and the Ekman pumping, which then excites thermocline variability. However, in the ventilated zone, both the advection and the Ekman pumping vary rapidly after a barotropic process (about one week) to reach a new steady balance, leaving little thermocline variability. In addition, the evolution of the thermocline and circulation are also discussed. Furthermore, with a periodic Ekman pumping, it is found that linear solutions are approximate the fully nonlinear solution well, particularly for annual forcings. However, the linear disturbance is strongly affected by the basic thermocline structure and circulation. The divergent group velocity field, which is mainly caused by the divergent Sverdrup flow field, produces a decay effect on disturbances. The mean thermocline structure also strongly affects the relative importance of the local Ekman pumping and remote Rossby waves. As a result, in a shadow zone, local response dominates for a shallow interface while the remote Rossby wave dominates for a deep interface. With a strong decadal forcing, the nonlinearity becomes important in the shadow zone, particularly in the western part. The time-mean thermocline which results, becomes shallower than the steady thermocline under the mean Ekman pumping. Then, we investigate the effect on the permanent thermocline by a moving outcrop line, which simulates the effect of a varying surface heat flux. The two layer model is modified by adding an (essentially passive) mixed layer atop. The outcrop line and the mixed layer depth are specified. It is found that, opposite…

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