Time trends in incidence and mortality for chronic liver disease and liver cancer in the interval 1980-1997 in Catalonia, Spain.

Abstract

It has been reported that the incidence of liver cancer and intrahepatic bile duct tumours might be increasing in some developed countries. The purpose of this study was to examine time trends of incidence and mortality rates of liver cirrhosis and liver cancer for the period 1980-1997 in Catalonia, Spain. Data were obtained from the Catalan Mortality Registry and the Tarragona Cancer Registry. Joinpoint analysis was used to detect time-related changes in incidence and mortality of liver diseases. The cohort effect on mortality and incidence rates was explored by an age-period-cohort model. Mortality from liver cirrhosis decreased during the study period for both sexes and all age groups, with the exception of men aged between 25 and 35 years. No changes in incidence or mortality rates were observed for liver cancer. Mortality rates for intrahepatic bile duct tumours increased in men and women, while incidence rates remained stable. This study identified in Catalonia an increase in mortality due to liver cirrhosis among 25-35-year-old men. Mortality rates for intrahepatic bile duct tumours increased for all age groups and both sexes. The former could be related to hepatitis C or B viruses and human immunodeficiency virus co-infection, while the latter remains unexplained.