Time to death from cervical cancer and predictors among cervical cancer patients in Felege Hiwot Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, North West Ethiopia: Facility-based retrospective follow-up study

Abstract

IntroductionA sexually transmitted virus called the Human Papillomavirus is responsible for more than 99% of cervical cancer cases and its precursors. In 2019, the median survival time of cervical cancer patients at 5 years was 37 months. The survival time and predictors of death from cervical cancer vary in different study settings. This study was aimed to assess the time to death and to identify the major predictors of death of cervical cancer patients in Felege Hiwot Comprehensive Specialized Hospital.MethodsA facility-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted among 422 randomly selected cervical cancer patients in Felege Hiwot Comprehensive Specialized Hospital from 25th June 2017 to 31st March 2021. Data were extracted from the sampled patient charts by using a structured checklist which was prepared in an English version. Data were coded and then entered, edited, and cleaned using EPI-data 3.1 and exported to STATA14.2 statistical software for analysis. Frequencies and proportions were used to describe the study population with relevant variables and were presented using tables, pie charts, and graphs. Kaplan Meier and life table were used to describe the restricted mean survival time and the overall survival rates. Differences in survival among different variables were compared using the log-rank test. The assumption of proportional hazard was checked using Schoenfeld residual test. Variables having a P-value > 0.05 were considered as fulfilling the assumption. Variables with a significance level below 0.2 in the bivariable Cox regression model were included in a multivariable Cox regression model analysis, where Variables with a p-value < 0.05 were considered to be statistically significant at a 95% confidence interval. Model fitness was checked by Cox-Snell residual.ResultsThe mean follow up time of this cohort was 27.66 (CI: 26.96, 28.36) months, and the restricted mean survival time of cervical cancer patients in this study was 40.21 (95% CI: 38.95, 41.47) months. Being FIGO stage IV [AHR = 6.10, 95% CI: 2.18, 16.90)], having adenocarcinoma [AHR = 3.12, 95% CI: 1.34, 7.28)], having co-morbidity [AHR = 2.57, 95% CI: 1.29, 5.11)], and being initiated with radiotherapy [AHR = 4.57, 95% CI: 1.60, 13.06)] were a significant predictors of death from cervical cancer.ConclusionThe restricted mean survival time of cervical cancer patients in this study was 40.21 months. Marital status, type of tumor histology, stage of disease, type of treatment initiated, and presence of co-morbidity were significant predictors of death for cervical cancer. Treatment of comorbidities in the early stage of cervical cancer plays a key role in maximizing the survival time of cervical cancer patients.