Abstract

Time to build is a very important factor in a real estate development venture. Delay in completion of a project not only affects the financing costs and the rental revenue but also it may, on a more strategic note, determine the success or failure of a project. A time to build option model consisting of a stochastic rate of completion and a stochastic net project payoff is applied to the sequential construction process of a large scale construction project. The results of the sensitivity analysis show that the optimal payoff value, that triggers the exercise of the option to invest at a maximum rate, increases positively with the increases in cash flow volatility, input cost uncertainty, excess asset return per unit risk and maximum rate of investment. However, it has a negative relationship with the rental yield. In a case study involving a commercial project, the premium for hedging the payoff risks by pre-leasing a project was estimated at 11.29%, whereas the additional cost incurred for shielding a project against input cost risks in a design and build contract was estimated at 7.80%, where each is given as a percentage of the total construction costs.

Full Text
Paper version not known

Talk to us

Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have

Schedule a call

Disclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.