Time-Series Regeneration With Convolutional Recurrent Generative Adversarial Network for Remaining Useful Life Estimation

Abstract

For health prognostic task, ever-increasing efforts have been focused on machine learning based methods, which are capable of yielding accurate remaining useful life (RUL) estimation for industrial equipment or components without exploring the degradation mechanism. A prerequisite ensuring the success of these methods depends on a wealth of run-to-failure data; however, run-to-failure data may be insufficient in practice. That is, conducting a substantial amount of destructive experiments not only is of high cost but also may cause catastrophic consequences. Out of this consideration, an enhanced RUL framework focusing on data self-generation is put forward for both noncyclic and cyclic degradation patterns for the first time. It is designed to enrich data from a data-driven way, generating realistic-like time-series to enhance current RUL methods. First, high-quality data generation is ensured through the proposed convolutional recurrent generative adversarial network, which adopts a two-channel fusion convolutional recurrent neural network. Next, a hierarchical framework is proposed to combine generated data into current RUL estimation methods. Finally, in this article the efficacy of the proposed method is verified through both noncyclic and cyclic degradation systems. With the enhanced RUL framework, an aero-engine system following noncyclic degradation has been tested using three typical RUL models. State-of-the-art RUL estimation results are achieved by enhancing capsule network with generated time-series. Specifically, estimation errors evaluated by the index score function have been reduced by 21.77$\%$ and 32.67$\%$ for the two employed operating conditions, respectively. Besides, the estimation error is reduced to zero for the lithium-ion battery system, which presents cyclic degradation.