Abstract

Diagnostic methods for discovering deterministic chaos based on the instability and the parallelness of nearby trajectories generated from a time series in phase space are applied to numerical time series contaminated with additive random noise. The diagnostic algorithm based on nonlinear forecasting is prone to be fooled when handling chaotic data including observational noise. Such a misdiagnosis can be circumvented by estimating the degrees of parallelness of neighboring trajectories in the phase space. Dynamical properties of global temperature variations and voice signals of Japanese vowel /a/ are examined by the combinational use of the diagnostic algorithms.

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