Time for a reassessment

Abstract

Increased reliance on nuclear power needs to be reassessed, says the author. The general decline in confidence in the nuclear industry, coupled with public recognition of widespread safety deficiencies affecting the country's nuclear installations, raises the possibility that an eventual phase-out of nuclear power will become national policy. Another major accident such as at TMI would enhance the probability of such a phase-out. An examination is made of the consequences of turning away from nuclear power in the event that such a course is ultimately taken. Subjects covered are: nuclear power's limited overall potential, nuclear power's limited (and shrinking) role, the impact of nuclear plant shutdown, the vast potential for improvements in energy efficiency, and alternatives to central-station power plant additions. Mr. Nadis concludes that, over the long run, nuclear power's expected contribution can be replaced. He says adoption of available, cost-effective measures designed to upgrade the end-use productivity of energy and electricity can significantly delay the need for enlarged electrical-generation capability until flexible, energy-efficient, and environmentally benign technologies can be introduced. 26 references. (MCW)