Tidal level forecasting using functional and sequential learning neural networks

Abstract

Prediction of tides is very much essential for human activities and to reduce the construction cost in marine environment. This paper presents two methods (1) an application of the functional networks (FN) and (2) sequential learning neural network (SLNN) procedures for the accurate prediction of tides using very short-term observation. This functional network model predicts the time series data of hourly tides directly while using an efficient learning process by minimizing the error based on the observed data for 30 days. Using the functional network, a very simple equation in the form of finite difference equation using the tidal levels at two previous time steps is arrived at. Sequential learning neural network uses one hidden neuron to predict the current tidal level using the previous four levels quite accurately. Hourly tidal data measured at Taichung harbor and Mirtuor coast along the Taiwan coastal region have been used for testing the functional network and sequential neural network model. Results show that the hourly data on tides for even a month can be predicted efficiently with a very high correlation coefficient.