Abstract

Background:There are several reports that cytomegalovirus (CMV) reactivation resulted in more co-infections affecting survival in rheumatic disease, and CMV reactivation can lead to infections in granulomatosis with polyangiitis patients by inducing CD4+CD28- T cell and depressing naïve T cell populations.1-4Despite this evidence, the prognostic value of CMV reactivation for severe infections in patients with connective tissue disease are still unknown.Objectives:The aim of this study was to examine prognostic factors for severe infection during the early phase of treatment, especially in CMV reactivation, in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic autoantibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV) who received initial high dose corticosteroid therapy (prednisolone > 0.8mg/kg/day).Methods:We analyzed the data of 88 consecutive hospitalized patients newly diagnosed with AAV at our hospital from January 2006 to March 2019 in this retrospective cohort study. There were 32 patients with CMV reactivation during remission induction therapy compared to 56 patients without CMV reactivation. CMV reactivation was defined by the detection of CMV pp65 antigen in blood samples, and CMV positive cells ≥ 5 per 3.0 × 105polymorphonuclear neutrophils (PMNs). The variable for severe infections within 180 days with apvalue < 0.1 in univariate analysis were selected for multivariate analysis using the Cox regression model. The positive predictive value (PPV) and positive likelihood ratio (PLR) of CMV reactivation for subsequent severe infections were also analyzed.Results:Patients with CMV reactivation, compared to those without, had a higher prevalence of MPO-ANCA, renal manifestation and renal impairment at diagnosis, received hemodialysis (HD), higher revised five factor score (FFS), older age, higher Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score at diagnosis, and higher initial doses of corticosteroids (CS) at baseline. Revised FFS ≥ 2, renal involvement, high initial serum creatinine (≥ 1.5 mg/dl) at diagnosis, received HD, and CMV reactivation were associated with severe infections in the univariate analysis, although receiving cyclophosphamide or rituximab was not. Among these variables, CMV reactivation (Hazard ratio [HR] 3.50; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.22-10.10;p= 0.02) and high initial serum creatinine at diagnosis (HR 8.09; 95%CI: 2.00-32.73;p< 0.01) were independent risk factors for severe infections within 180 days. (Table 1) The PPV and PLR of CMV reactivation for subsequent severe infections were 35% and 1.91. When including higher initial serum creatinine, PPV and PLR for subsequent severe infections was 67% and 7.26.Table 1.Cox regression analysis for severe infections within 180 days.Univariate analysisMultivariate analysisPotential prognostic factorsHR (95% CI)P valueHR (95% CI)P valueAge ≥ 651.36 (0.48-3.71)0.580Male1.23 (0.50-3.04)0.648Past history of lung disease0.39 (0.11-1.36)0.140Past history of diabetes mellitus0.64 (0.15-2.77)0.550Lung involvement1.76 (0.67-4.62)0.254Renal involvement†3.68 (1.22-11.10)0.021Serum Cr ≥ 1.5 at diagnosis9.50 (3.40-26.49)< 0.0018.09 (2.00-32.73)0.003Hemodialysis4.85 (1.73-13.54)0.0030.96 (0.31-2.97)0.950BVAS ≥ 201.50 (0.59-3.81)0.393Revised FFS ≥ 24.40 (1.28-15.13)0.0180.83 (0.16-4.27)0.818MPSL pulse therapy1.16 (0.47-2.86)0.746Received CYC or RTX1.54 (0.55-4.27)0.409CMV reactivation5.10 (1.93-13.48)0.0013.50 (1.22-10.06)0.020† “Renal involvement” was excluded in the multivariate analysis to avoid multicollinearity.Conclusion:Our study shows that there should be focus on subsequent severe infections when CMV reactivation is detected during early phase of treatment, especially in renal-impaired patients with ANCA-associated vasculitis.

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