Abstract
A major shortcoming of existing research on human migration is its lack of comparability. Widely different sets of explanatory variables, demographic groups, geographic units, and sample sizes have been used. Often the absence of explicit disciplinary theory makes it difficult to interpret these findings or make any confident generalizations or predictions about population shifts. In response to this weakness, this paper examines patterns of age-race specific net migration of males between United States metropolitan areas for I960 to 1970 using three models of migration, each of which has a distinct conceptual underpinning. The first model draws on several neoclassical economic perspectives, the second discusses the influence of non-traded goods, and the third derives and tests an ecological model of migration.
Highlights
A major shortcoming ofexisting research on human migration is its lack of comparability
As hypothesized by human capital theory, the strongest effects are found in the younger age groups(both black and white) whose members have the most to gain in lifetime earnings by moving
In a strict statistical sense, it is not possible to compare the significance of the several equations which incorporate both different variables and different num bers of parameters, but some useful inferences can still be made
Summary
A major shortcoming ofexisting research on human migration is its lack of comparability. Often the absence of explicit disciplinary theory makes it difficult to interpret these findings or make any confident generalizations or predictions about population shifts. In response to this weakness, this paper examines pat terns of age-race specific net migration of males between United States metropolitan areas for I960to 1970 using three models of migration,each ofwhich has a distinct conceptual underpinning.The first model draws on several neoclassical economic perspectives, the second discusses the influ ence of non-traded goods, and the third derives and tests an ecological model of migration. The conclusion compares the models and finds some implications for further work
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