Three-Dimensional Mineral Prospectivity Modeling for Delineation of Deep-Seated Skarn-Type Mineralization in Xuancheng–Magushan Area, China

Abstract

The Middle–Lower Yangtze River Metallogenic Belt is an important copper and iron polymetallic metallogenic belt in China. Today’s economic development is inseparable from the support of metal mineral resources. With the continuous exploitation of shallow and easily identifiable mines in China, the prospecting work of deep and hidden mines is very important. Mineral prospectivity modeling (MPM) is an important means to improve the efficiency of mineral exploration. With the increase in resource demands and exploration difficulty, the traditional 2DMPM is often difficult to use to reflect the information of deep mineral deposits. More large-scale deposits are needed to carry out 3DMPM research. With the rise of artificial intelligence, the combination of machine learning and geological big data has become a hot issue in the field of 3DMPM. In this paper, a case study of 3DMPM is carried out based on the Xuancheng–Magushan area’s actual data. Two machine learning methods, the random forest and the logistic regression, are selected for comparison. The results show that the 3DMPM based on random forest method performs better than the logistic regression method. It can better characterize the corresponding relationship between the geological structure combination and the metallogenic distribution, and the accuracy in the test set reaches 96.63%. This means that the random forest model could provide more effective and accurate support for integrating predictive data during 3DMPM. Finally, five prospecting targets with good metallogenic potential are delineated in the deep area of the Xuancheng–Magushan area for future exploration.