Abstract

Abstract Thermal performance prediction with high precision and low cost is always the need for designers of heat exchangers. Three typical design of experiments (DOE) known as Taguchi design method (TDM), Uniform design method (UDM), and Response surface method (RSM) are commonly used to reduce experimental cost. The radial basis function artificial neural network (RBF) based on different DOE is used to predict the thermal performance of two new parallel-flow shell and tube heat exchangers. The applicability and expense of ten different prediction methods (RBF + TDML9, RBF + TDML18, RBF + UDM, RBF + TDML9 + UDM, RBF + TDML18 + UDM, RBF + RSM, RBF + RSM + TDML9, RBF + RSM + TDML18, RBF + RSM + UDM, RSM) are discussed. The results show that the RBF + RSM is a very efficient method for the precise prediction of thermal-hydraulic performance: the minimum error is 2.17% for Nu and 5.30% for f. For RBF, it is not true that the more of train data, the more precision of the prediction. The parameter “spread” of RBF should be adjusted to optimize the prediction results. The prediction using RSM only can also obtain a good balance between precision and time cost with a maximum prediction error of 14.52%.

Highlights

  • Shell and tube heat exchangers (STHXs) are wildly used in various industries [1]

  • Thermal-hydraulic performance prediction of two new heat exchangers 287 and tape width on the thermal-hydraulic performance are numerically explored with flow in turbulent regime

  • The uniform experimental design method (UDM) was proposed by Fang and Wang based on the quasi-Monte Carlo method, number theoretic method, and multivariate statistics [13]

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Summary

Introduction

The greatest advantage of the STHXs over other types of heat exchangers is that they can withstand very high temperature and pressure simultaneously at a low cost [2]. Taguchi design method (TDM), uniform design method (UDM), and response surface method (RSM) are three wildly used DOE. The uniform experimental design method (UDM) was proposed by Fang and Wang based on the quasi-Monte Carlo method, number theoretic method, and multivariate statistics [13]. Compared with the conventional statistical experimental design methods, the UDM can significantly reduce the number of experiments under the same number of factors and levels [14,15]. One of the advantages of the RSM over the conventional experimental methods, in addition to reducing the experimental cost, is that it minimizes the variability around the target [17–19]

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