Abstract
In 1991 and especially in 1992 prior to the September capture of Abimael Guzman, some analysts of the Shining Path (SL or Sendero) were forecasting a victory for the guerrilla movement within five years or less. Most believed that a revolutionary victory was possible. Said Peruvian analyst Enrique Obando: “The state is on the verge of defeat. The armed forces could tumble down at any moment.”1 Warned Gustavo Gorriti: “If they [the Shining Path] continue this way, they will be able to beat the Peruvian state.”2 Concluded a U.S.-based analyst: “The Shining Path has become a direct threat to the government of Peru.”3 In 1989, SL inflicted more deaths, controlled a greater percentage of national territory, and was approved in opinion polls by a larger percentage of citizens than the guerrilla movement in El Salvador.4
Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
