Theoretical model of possible disturbances in the nighttime mid-latitude ionospheric D region over an area of strong-earthquake preparation

Abstract

We present a theoretical model of possible electron-density disturbances in the nighttime mid-latitude ionospheric D region, preceding strong earthquakes. It is found that the electron density in the nighttime D region over an earthquake epicentral zone can considerably increase before severe earthquakes. The horizontal size of the area of disturbed electron density is about 300 km. The disturbance effect is expected to be more pronounced if a powerful VLF transmitter operates in the vicinity of an imminent earthquake epicentral zone. In this case, a very dense ionization layer of daytime D-layer type can be formed at the altitudes of the upper nighttime mesosphere and can give rise to the effect of strong absorption of HF radio waves propagating over the earthquake preparation area.