The war in Ukraine and the risk of low impact of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

Abstract

In 2022, the Russian Federation became the most sanctioned country on Earth due to its full-scale invasion of Ukraine. The aim of this article is to measure the effectiveness of the economic sanctions adopted against the Russian Federation. The research main hypothesis was the following: the impact of Western sanctions imposed on Russia caused by the war in Ukraine remains low. The research methodology was based on literature research and a linear regression model with two variables: dependent and independent. The results of the study lead to the following conclusions: 1.Sanctions adopted on Russia since 2014 and since 2022 have a direct negative impact on Russian trade (imports and exports in value) with the EU countries and the US. 2.Sanctions adopted against Russia since 2014 and 2022 have a direct negative impact on its trade (imports and exports in value) with the trade partners that have a neutral position concerning the war.