Abstract

The evaluation of the prognosis of gliomas may have great value in individualized treatment. To evaluate the value of intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) in predicting the survival of patients with astrocytoma and comparing it to apparent diffusion coefficients (ADC). Sixty patients with pathologically confirmed cerebral astrocytomas underwent IVIM scans before any treatment was performed. Patients were divided into death group and survival group according to a two-year follow-up. ADC and quantitative parameters of IVIM including D, D*, and f were measured. Independent sample t test was used to compare the two groups of parameters. The accuracy of each parameter for two-year survival rate was analyzed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Kaplan-Meier survival curves. The correlation between quantitative parameters and survival days was analyzed by Pearson correlation analysis. The ADC, D*, and f values were statistically significant different between the death and the survival groups (P < 0.05). The AUC of the ADC, D*, and f were 0.811, 0.858, and 0.892, respectively. The ADC cut-off value of 0.668 × 10-3 mm2/s corresponded to 82.6% sensitivity and 73% specificity. The D* cut-off value of 3.913 × 10-3 mm2/s corresponded to 78.4% sensitivity and 87% specificity. The f cut-off value of 0.487 corresponded to 83.8% sensitivity and 87% specificity. Significant log rank test was performed for each parameter to predict overall survival (P < 0.05). There was a correlation between ADC (r = 0.625, P = 0.023), D* (r = -0.655, P = 0.012), f (r = -0.725, P = 0.000) and survival days. The D* and f values demonstrated great potential in predicting the two-year survival rate for patients with astrocytoma.

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