The value of comorbidities and illness severity scores as prognostic tools for early outcome estimation in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Abstract

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is a severe cerebrovascular disease not only causing brain injury but also frequently inducing a significant systemic reaction affecting multiple organ systems. In addition to hemorrhage severity, comorbidities and acute extracerebral organ dysfunction may impact the prognosis after aSAH as well. The study objective was to assess the value of illness severity scores for early outcome estimation after aSAH. A retrospective analysis of consecutive aSAH patients treated from 2012 to 2020 was performed. Comorbidities were evaluated applying the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) and the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification. Organ dysfunction was assessed by calculating the simplified acute physiology score (SAPS II) 24 h after admission. Modified Rankin scale (mRS) at 3 months was documented. The outcome discrimination power was evaluated. A total of 315 patients were analyzed. Significant comorbidities (CCI > 3) and physical performance impairment (ASA > 3) were found in 15% and 12% of all patients, respectively. The best outcome discrimination power showed SAPS II (AUC 0.76), whereas ASA (AUC 0.65) and CCI (AUC 0.64) exhibited lower discrimination power. A SAPS II cutoff of 40 could reliably discriminate patients with good (mRS ≤ 3) from those with poor outcome (p < 0.0001). Calculation of SAPS II allowed a comprehensive depiction of acute organ dysfunctions and facilitated a reliable early prognosis estimation in our study. In direct comparison to CCI and ASA, SAPS II demonstrated the highest discrimination power and deserves a consideration as a prognostic tool after aSAH.